| Business Rules for CO2 Emissions Reduction to Control Global Warming Version 3 | | The rules semantically link data from: | http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/1605/coefficients.html | http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/ieo/scdc.html | http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/ieo/index.html International Energy Outlook 2008 International0484(2008).pdf | www.physics.uci.edu/~silverma/units.html | | You can view, run and change the rules, by pointing a browser to www.reengineeringllc.com | and selecting CarbonDioxideEmissons1. | | Note that the results may be optimistic. You can get step-by-step English explanations of the results, | showing the underlying data and calculations. | | You are welcome to improve the rules. However, please make a copy of this file (using the | pulldown on the Start page) and make your changes to your copy. Changes to this original | file will be periodically reset. | | Please send comments to internet.business.logic@gmail.com we need to reduce projected world yearly emissions of CO2 by some-number million metric tons per year by 2025 increasing some-activity by some-amount percent would reduce world CO2 emissions by 1 million Metric Tons/yr multiplying that-number by that-amount and rounding to 1 place gives some-quantity ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- increasing only that-activity by that-quantity percent by 2025 would meet world 2005 CO2 emission requirements we need to reduce projected world yearly emissions of CO2 by some-number million metric tons per year by 2025 applying some-activity for some-amount some-units of energy use would reduce world CO2 emissions by 1 million Metric Tons/yr multiplying that-number by that-amount and rounding to 1 place gives some-quantity ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ increasing only that-activity by that-quantity those-units by 2025 would meet world 2005 CO2 emission requirements for some-activity an increase of some-amount percent by 2030 would reduce world CO2 emissions by 1 Billion Metric Tons/yr that-amount / 1000 = some-number ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- increasing that-activity by that-number percent would reduce world CO2 emissions by 1 million Metric Tons/yr for some-activity an increase of some-amount gigawatts by 2030 would reduce world CO2 emissions by 1 Billion Metric Tons/yr that-amount / 1000 = some-number ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- applying that-activity for that-number gigawatts of energy use would reduce world CO2 emissions by 1 million Metric Tons/yr for some-activity an increase of some-amount Quadrillion Btu by 2030 would reduce world CO2 emissions by 1 Billion Metric Tons/yr that-amount / 1000 = some-number ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- applying that-activity for that-number Quadrillion Btu of energy use would reduce world CO2 emissions by 1 million Metric Tons/yr applying this-activity for this-amount these-units of energy use would reduce world CO2 emissions by 1 million Metric Tons/yr ============================================================================================================================== sum an-amount : for some-type energy use, we need to reduce yearly emissions by some-amount million metric tons of CO2 per year by 2025 = some-number ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ we need to reduce projected world yearly emissions of CO2 by that-number million metric tons per year by 2025 REF CASE some-type energy use 2005-2030 increases some-number gigawatt-hours emitting some-quantity extra million metric tons of CO2 some-fraction of all of emitted CO2 is currently added to the atmosphere (the rest is absorbed) multiplying that-quantity by that-fraction and rounding to 1 place gives some-amount --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- for that-type energy use, we need to reduce yearly emissions by that-amount million metric tons of CO2 per year by 2025 World All some-type energy consumption 2005-2030 will increase from some-2005-number to some-2030-number Quadrillion Btu/yr that-2030-number - that-2005-number = some-QuadBtu-diff on average, using a fuel of type that-type emits some-CO2-number metric tons of CO2 per Quadrillion Btu produced that-CO2-number / 1000000 = some-million-CO2-number multiplying that-QuadBtu-diff by that-million-CO2-number and rounding to 1 place gives some-quantity to change Quadrillion Btu to gigawatt-hours, multiply by some-factor multiplying that-QuadBtu-diff by that-factor and rounding to 1 place gives some-number ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- REF CASE that-type energy use 2005-2030 increases that-number gigawatt-hours emitting that-quantity extra million metric tons of CO2 some-fuel has some-code and produces some-uamount pounds of CO2 per some-unit and some-number pounds of CO2 per million Btu that-number * 1000000 = some-pounds-per-quad-Btu there are some-factor lbs in 1 metric ton (1000 kg) those-pounds-per-quad-Btu / that-factor = some-amount1 that-amount1 rounded to 1 place(s) after the decimal point is some-amount --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- using that-fuel emits that-amount metric tons of CO2 per Quadrillion Btu produced there is a fuel of type some-type avg some-amount : there is a fuel of type that-type that emits some-amount metric tons of CO2 per Quadrillion Btu produced = a-number --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- on average, using a fuel of type that-type emits that-number metric tons of CO2 per Quadrillion Btu produced using some-fuel emits some-amount metric tons of CO2 per Quadrillion Btu produced that-fuel can be categorized as being of type some-type -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- there is a fuel of type that-type that emits that-amount metric tons of CO2 per Quadrillion Btu produced on average, using a fuel of type some-type emits some-multiplier metric tons of CO2 per Quadrillion Btu produced World All that-type energy consumption 2005-2030 will increase from some-2005-number to some-2030-number Quadrillion Btu/yr that-2030-number - that-2005-number = some-QuadBtu-diff that-QuadBtu-diff * that-multiplier = some-amount1 that-amount1 / 1000000 = some-amount2 that-amount2 rounded to 1 place(s) after the decimal point is some-amount ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2005-2030 energy related CO2 emissions from that-type fuel are expected to increase by that-amount million metric tons some-fuel can be categorized as being of type some-type ------------------------------------------------------- there is a fuel of type that-type this-fuel can be categorized as being of type this-type =========================================================== Aviation Gasoline Liquids Coal Anthracite Coal Coal Bituminous Coal Coal Lignite Coal Coal Subbituminous Coal Distillate Fuel Oil and Diesel Liquids Flare Gas Natural Gas Geothermal Energy Other Hydropower Other Jet Fuel Liquids Kerosene Liquids Landfill Gas Other Liquified Petroleum Gases (LPG) Liquids Methane Natural Gas Motor Gasoline Other Municipal Solid Waste Other Natural Gas (Pipeline) Natural Gas Nuclear Nuclear Petroleum Coke Coal Photovoltaic and Solar Thermal Other Propane Natural Gas Residual Fuel Oil Liquids Tires/Tire-Derived Fuel Liquids Wind Other Wood and Wood Waste Other this-fuel is used mainly for transportation =========================================== Aviation Gasoline Distillate Fuel Oil and Diesel Jet Fuel Motor Gasoline some-fuel is used mainly for transportation using that-fuel emits some-amount metric tons of CO2 per Quadrillion Btu produced ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- using that-fuel for transportation emits that-amount metric tons of CO2 per Quadrillion Btu produced avg some-amount : using some-fuel for transportation emits some-amount metric tons of CO2 per Quadrillion Btu produced = some-number ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- fuels used for transportation emit on average about that-number metric tons of CO2 per Quadrillion Btu produced World All Liquids energy consumption 2005-2030 will increase from some-2005-number to some-2030-number Quadrillion Btu/yr that-2030-number - that-2005-number = some-QuadBtu/yr-increase for renewable fuels for transportation an increase of some-amount Quadrillion Btu by 2030 would reduce world CO2 emissions by 1 Billion Metric Tons/yr multiplying that-QuadBtu/yr-increase by that-amount and rounding to 1 place gives some-quantity ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- to stabilize transportation CO2 emissions in 2030 at the 2005 level, increase renewable fuels usage by that-quantity Quadrillion Btu to stabilize transportation CO2 emissions in 2030 at the 2005 level, increase renewable fuels usage by some-quad-amount Quadrillion Btu to convert from Quadrillion Btu to barrels of gasoline, multiply by some-factor that-quad-amount * that-factor = some-amount/yr that-amount/yr / 365 = some-amount/day that-amount/day / 1000000 = some-long-million-amount/day that-long-million-amount/day rounded to 1 place(s) after the decimal point is some-quantity ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- to stabilize transportation CO2 emissions in 2030 at the 2005 level, use renewables in place of that-quantity million barrels/day gasoline Gasoline produces some-number million Btu per barrel (source: www.physics.uci.edu/~silverma/units.html) 1 / that-number = some-number-barrels/millionBtu that-number-barrels/millionBtu * 1000000000 = some-number-barrels/QuadBtu ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- to convert from Quadrillion Btu to barrels of gasoline, multiply by that-number-barrels/QuadBtu this-fuel produces this-number million Btu per this-unit (source: www.physics.uci.edu/~silverma/units.html) ============================================================================================================ Coal 25 ton Crude Oil 5.6 barrel Oil 5.78 barrel Gasoline 5.6 barrel Natural gas liquids 4.2 barrel Natural gas 1030*10e-6 cubic foot Wood 20 cord | in USA usage this-phrase stands for this-number | ================================================ | Quadrillion 10e+15 | Billion 10e+9 | Million 10e+6 there are this-number lbs in 1 metric ton (1000 kg) =================================================== 2204.6 to change Btu to kilowatt-hours, multiply by this-factor ======================================================= 0.0002931 to change Btu to kilowatt-hours, multiply by some-amount that-amount * 1000000 = some-factor -------------------------------------------------------------------- to change Quadrillion Btu to gigawatt-hours, multiply by that-factor this-fraction of all of emitted CO2 is currently added to the atmosphere (the rest is absorbed) =============================================================================================== 0.52 some-number1 + some-number2 = some-number3 that-number3 rounded to 1 place(s) after the decimal point is some-number -------------------------------------------------------------------------- adding that-number1 to that-number2 and rounding to 1 place gives that-number some-number1 * some-number2 = some-number3 that-number3 rounded to 1 place(s) after the decimal point is some-number --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- multiplying that-number1 by that-number2 and rounding to 1 place gives that-number World All some-type energy consumption data: some-1990 some-2004 some-2005-number some-2010 some-2015 some-2020 some-2025 some-2030-number (Quadrillion Btu/yr) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- World All that-type energy consumption 2005-2030 will increase from that-2005-number to that-2030-number Quadrillion Btu/yr | http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/ieo/index.html International Energy Outlook 2008 International0484(2008).pdf this-region this-subregion this-type energy consumption data: this-1990 this-2004 this-2005 this-2010 this-2015 this-2020 this-2025 this-2030 (Quadrillion Btu/yr) =================================================================================================================================================================== OECD North America Liquids 40.5 48.9 49.1 49.4 51.4 52.3 53.4 55.2 OECD North America Natural Gas 23.2 28.1 28.0 29.8 31.0 31.6 32.1 32.8 OECD North America Coal 20.6 24.5 24.8 25.3 26.5 28.3 30.2 32.4 OECD North America Nuclear 6.9 9.3 9.3 9.7 9.8 10.5 11.0 11.2 OECD North America Other 9.5 9.8 10.2 12.2 13.6 15.2 16.7 17.3 OECD North America Total 100.7 120.6 121.3 126.4 132.3 137.8 143.4 148.9 OECD Europe Liquids 28.4 32.0 32.1 31.9 32.8 33.0 33.1 33.2 OECD Europe Natural Gas 11.2 19.4 19.9 21.3 23.5 25.5 26.7 28.0 OECD Europe Coal 17.7 13.3 13.2 13.8 13.7 13.3 13.0 12.6 OECD Europe Nuclear 7.9 9.9 9.8 9.6 9.5 8.7 9.0 9.3 OECD Europe Other 4.8 6.3 6.5 7.2 7.3 7.9 8.6 9.0 OECD Europe Total 70.0 81.0 81.4 83.9 86.8 88.5 90.4 92.0 OECD Asia Liquids 14.7 17.3 17.5 17.2 17.9 18.3 18.5 18.8 OECD Asia Natural Gas 2.9 5.6 5.6 6.2 6.8 7.1 7.3 7.5 OECD Asia Coal 5.2 9.2 9.3 9.6 9.6 9.6 9.7 10.0 OECD Asia Nuclear 2.5 4.0 4.2 4.5 5.0 5.5 5.9 6.3 OECD Asia Other 1.6 1.8 1.6 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.4 OECD Asia Total 26.8 37.8 38.2 39.3 41.4 42.7 43.7 44.9 OECD All Liquids 83.6 98.2 98.7 98.5 102.1 103.7 105.1 107.2 OECD All Natural Gas 37.2 53.1 53.4 57.3 61.2 64.1 66.1 68.3 OECD All Coal 43.5 47.0 47.3 48.7 49.9 51.2 52.9 55.0 OECD All Nuclear 17.3 23.1 23.2 23.8 24.3 24.8 26.0 26.8 OECD All Other 15.9 17.9 18.2 21.3 22.9 25.2 27.5 28.7 OECD All Total 197.5 239.4 240.9 249.7 260.5 269.0 277.6 285.9 Non-OECD Europe and Eurasia Liquids 19.6 9.8 10.0 11.3 12.1 12.9 13.6 14.2 Non-OECD Europe and Eurasia Natural Gas 27.5 25.1 26.0 28.1 30.0 31.8 32.8 34.4 Non-OECD Europe and Eurasia Coal 15.1 8.7 8.8 8.9 10.0 10.4 10.5 11.2 Non-OECD Europe and Eurasia Nuclear 2.5 2.9 2.8 3.1 3.5 4.4 5.1 5.2 Non-OECD Europe and Eurasia Other 2.8 3.0 3.1 3.7 3.8 3.8 4.0 4.1 Non-OECD Europe and Eurasia Total 67.3 49.5 50.7 55.1 59.5 63.3 66.0 69.1 Non-OECD Asia Liquids 14.0 30.5 31.5 37.5 43.9 50.2 56.5 63.6 Non-OECD Asia Natural Gas 3.0 8.9 9.8 13.3 17.7 22.3 25.8 28.9 Non-OECD Asia Coal 27.0 54.9 60.9 76.4 90.7 102.6 115.4 128.2 Non-OECD Asia Nuclear 0.4 1.1 1.1 1.6 3.1 4.7 6.0 6.8 Non-OECD Asia Other 3.0 5.6 6.6 8.4 8.8 9.6 11.5 13.3 Non-OECD Asia Total 47.4 101.0 109.9 137.1 164.2 189.4 215.3 240.8 Non-OECD Middle East Liquids 7.2 11.3 12.0 14.0 15.3 16.9 18.2 19.5 Non-OECD Middle East Natural Gas 3.8 9.0 10.2 11.7 13.4 14.9 15.7 16.4 Non-OECD Middle East Coal 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 Non-OECD Middle East Nuclear 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 Non-OECD Middle East Other 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 Non-OECD Middle East Total 11.2 20.9 22.9 26.4 29.5 32.6 34.7 36.8 Non-OECD Africa Liquids 4.3 5.8 6.0 7.0 7.5 8.1 8.5 8.8 Non-OECD Africa Natural Gas 1.5 2.8 3.2 3.8 4.9 6.0 6.7 7.5 Non-OECD Africa Coal 3.0 4.3 4.2 4.4 5.1 5.3 5.6 5.6 Non-OECD Africa Nuclear 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 Non-OECD Africa Other 0.6 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.8 Non-OECD Africa Total 9.5 14.0 14.4 16.5 18.9 20.9 22.5 23.9 Non-OECD Central and SAmerica Liquids 7.8 11.0 11.2 12.9 13.5 14.3 15.1 16.0 Non-OECD Central and SAmerica Natural Gas 2.2 4.4 4.7 6.0 7.1 7.9 8.6 9.3 Non-OECD Central and SAmerica Coal 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.3 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 Non-OECD Central and SAmerica Nuclear 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 Non-OECD Central and SAmerica Other 3.9 6.1 6.4 7.1 7.9 9.0 9.9 10.8 Non-OECD Central and SAmerica Total 14.5 22.5 23.4 27.7 30.5 33.2 35.7 38.3 Non-OECD All Liquids 52.9 68.4 70.8 82.6 92.3 102.4 111.9 122.1 Non-OECD All Natural Gas 38.0 50.2 53.9 63.0 73.1 82.8 89.6 96.4 Non-OECD All Coal 45.7 69.1 75.2 91.5 107.9 120.5 133.8 147.3 Non-OECD All Nuclear 3.1 4.3 4.2 5.1 7.1 9.7 11.8 12.6 Non-OECD All Other 10.3 15.9 17.2 20.7 22.1 24.0 27.2 30.3 Non-OECD All Total 149.9 207.9 221.3 262.8 302.5 339.4 374.2 408.8 World All Liquids 136.4 166.6 169.4 181.1 194.4 206.1 216.9 229.3 World All Natural Gas 75.2 103.3 107.4 120.3 134.4 146.9 155.8 164.7 World All Coal 89.2 116.1 122.5 140.2 157.8 171.7 186.7 202.2 World All Nuclear 20.4 27.4 27.5 28.8 31.4 34.5 37.7 39.4 World All Other 26.2 33.8 35.5 42.0 45.0 49.3 54.7 59.0 World All Total 347.4 447.3 462.2 512.5 563.0 608.4 651.8 694.7 for some-activity an increase of some-amount these-units by 2030 -- some-note -- would reduce world CO2 emissions by 1 Billion Metric Tons/yr ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- for that-activity an increase of that-amount those-units by 2030 would reduce world CO2 emissions by 1 Billion Metric Tons/yr | http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/ieo/scdc.html for this-activity an increase of this-amount these-units by 2030 -- this-note -- would reduce world CO2 emissions by 1 Billion Metric Tons/yr ======================================================================================================================================================== nuclear electricity generation 740 gigawatts assuming additional nuclear power displaces only coal renewable fuels for transportation 20 Quadrillion Btu assuming savings of 80 percent in CO2 emissions vs conventional petroleum carbon capture and storage 250 gigawatts applied to coal-fired generation capacity with a 90-percent removal rate anthropogenic sequestration 27 percent includes projects such as reforestation and other land-use programs nonhydro renewables for electricity, OECD 417 percent that is, increase by an average of 7.4 percent annually from 2010 to 2030 hydro and other for electricity, non-OECD 141 percent that is, 3.5 percent per year from 2020 to 2030 | http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/1605/coefficients.html this-fuel has this-code and produces this-amount pounds of CO2 per this-unit and this-number pounds of CO2 per million Btu =========================================================================================================================== Aviation Gasoline AV 18.355 gallon 152.717 Aviation Gasoline AV 770.916 barrel 152.717 Distillate Fuel Oil and Diesel DF 22.384 gallon 161.386 Distillate Fuel Oil and Diesel DF 940.109 barrel 161.386 Jet Fuel JF 21.095 gallon 156.258 Jet Fuel JF 885.98 barrel 156.258 Kerosene KS 21.537 gallon 159.535 Kerosene KS 904.565 barrel 159.535 Liquified Petroleum Gases (LPG) LG 12.805 gallon 139.039 Liquified Petroleum Gases (LPG) LG 537.804 barrel 139.039 Motor Gasoline MG 19.564 gallon 156.425 Motor Gasoline MG 822.944 barrel 156.425 Petroleum Coke PC 32.397 gallon 225.130 Petroleum Coke PC 1356.461 barrel 156.425 Petroleum Coke PC 6768.667 short ton 156.425 Residual Fuel Oil RF 26.033 gallon 173.906 Residual Fuel Oil RF 1,093.384 barrel 173.906 Methane ME 116.376 1000 ft3 115.258 Landfill Gas LF 1 1000 ft3 115.258 Flare Gas FG 133.759 1000 ft3 120.721 Natural Gas (Pipeline) NG 120.593 1000 ft3 117.080 Propane PR 12.669 gallon 139.178 Propane PR 532.085 barrel 139.178 Coal Anthracite AC 5685.00 short ton 227.400 Coal Bituminous BC 4931.30 short ton 205.300 Coal Subbituminous SB 3715.90 short ton 212.700 Coal Lignite LC 2791.60 short ton 215.400 Geothermal Energy GE 0 - 0 Wind WN 0 - 0 Photovoltaic and Solar Thermal PV 0 - 0 Hydropower HY 0 - 0 Tires/Tire-Derived Fuel TF 6160 short ton 189.538 Wood and Wood Waste WW 3812 short ton 195.0 Municipal Solid Waste MS 1999 short ton 199.854 Nuclear NU 0 - 0 | This file is an application written in the language Executable English. | You can view, run and change it by pointing a browser | to www.reengineeringllc.com and selecting CarbonDioxideEmissons1.